Ethiopia : Foreign Exchange Rate Related Risks , Possible Solutions and Future Outlook. Let me know what you think!

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The exchange rate is the price at which one currency can be exchanged for another. It is determined by the interaction of supply and demand for that currency. The exchange rate fluctuates constantly, reflecting the dynamic nature of the global economy. Foreign exchange markets are highly liquid, meaning they are easily accessible and allow for quick transactions. They are also highly transparent, meaning that all transactions are publicly visible. This transparency fosters trust and confidence in the market.

Foreign exchange risk is the possibility of an enterprise losing money on global trade due to fluctuations of currency. The exchange rate risk reveals the probability that the value of investment may decline due to variations in the relative values of the currencies involved. The risk inversely affects investors and any enterprises involved in external trade. The risk takes place if a contract between two traders defines exact prices for goods or services. It may also include delivery dates of goods and services. If the value of a currency fluctuates between the date the contract is signed and the date of delivery, a loss for one of the traders or parties could result. The parties may face various types of risks mentioned earlier. They also face a jurisdiction risk that arises when laws change unexpectedly. This risk takes place in the country where the exporter is doing business. Economists are of the opinion that this risk is less common and exists primarily in unstable countries, such as those in the Horn of Africa.

For example, if a US company purchases goods from a Japanese supplier, the US dollar may appreciate against the Japanese yen. This appreciation could lead to a significant increase in the cost of the goods for the US company. Similarly, if a US company purchases goods from a supplier in the UK, the US dollar may appreciate against the British pound.

This risk is particularly relevant for multinational corporations (MNCs) with operations in multiple countries. MNCs face a complex web of foreign exchange transactions, making them particularly vulnerable to translation risk. Let’s delve deeper into the translation risk.

The summary provides a key insight into the relationship between economic exposure, market value, and multinational enterprises. Let’s break down this relationship and explore its implications. **Economic Exposure and Market Value**

Economic exposure is the risk associated with fluctuations in exchange rates, interest rates, and inflation that can affect a company’s profitability. It’s essentially a measure of how sensitive a company’s financial performance is to changes in these macroeconomic variables.

**1. Diversifying the Means of Production:**

* **Explanation:** This strategy involves utilizing different production methods and resources to reduce reliance on a single source or technology. * **Examples:** A clothing company might manufacture clothes in different countries, using different fabrics and production techniques. A tech company might develop software in one country and hardware in another.

These factors can be influenced by global events, such as political upheavals or economic crises. These fluctuations can impact businesses and consumers, affecting their spending patterns and investment decisions. ## Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuations on Businesses and Consumers

Exchange rate fluctuations, the movement in the value of one currency relative to another, can have a significant impact on businesses and consumers. These fluctuations can be caused by various factors, including macroeconomic policies, global events, and market speculation.

A. Currency Volatility: The Double-Edged Sword of International Lending
B.

Foreign exchange risk is a significant concern for lenders and borrowers alike. It arises from the potential for fluctuations in exchange rates, which can impact the value of debt obligations. This risk is particularly pronounced in international transactions, where the value of currencies can vary significantly.

** The summary describes the process of exporters dealing with foreign currency payments. It mentions that exporters can enter into forward contracts with their banks to secure a fixed exchange rate for future currency transactions. **Your task:** Create a detailed and comprehensive text based on the summary.

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**Key Considerations for Limiting Foreign Exchange Risk in Foreign Trade**

1. **Hedging:** Hedging is a strategy that involves taking an offsetting position in the foreign exchange market to reduce the risk of losses due to fluctuations in exchange rates. * **Example:** A company importing goods from China might hedge its exposure by purchasing a forward contract to lock in a fixed exchange rate for the purchase of goods.

The economy of Ethiopia being mainly dependent on agricultural production for home consumption, supply of input delivery for local industries and export of produces, it needs import of tech for raising productivity. However, this strategy is mainly based on foreign exchange earning that is free from risk, if possible. This depends on the latest skills and knowhow of financial management in every sector of the Ethiopian economy. Editor’s Note: The views entertained in this article do not necessarily reflect the stance of The Ethiopian Herald

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